Trillium Gold Mines Stock Performance

TGLDF Stock  USD 0.30  0.01  3.45%   
Trillium Gold holds a performance score of 6 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The entity has a beta of -3.34, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Trillium Gold are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Trillium Gold is expected to outperform it. Use Trillium Gold Mines downside variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to analyze future returns on Trillium Gold Mines.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Trillium Gold Mines are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile fundamental indicators, Trillium Gold reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow6.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1 M
  

Trillium Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  25.00  in Trillium Gold Mines on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5.00  from holding Trillium Gold Mines or generate 20.0% return on investment over 90 days. Trillium Gold Mines is currently producing 1.9084% returns and takes up 21.8507% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Trillium, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trillium Gold is expected to generate 28.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 28.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Trillium Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trillium OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.30 90 days 0.30 
about 35.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trillium Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.95 (This Trillium Gold Mines probability density function shows the probability of Trillium OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Trillium Gold Mines has a beta of -3.34. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Trillium Gold Mines are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Trillium Gold is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Trillium Gold Mines has an alpha of 1.7681, implying that it can generate a 1.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Trillium Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trillium Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trillium Gold Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trillium Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3022.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2922.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.2422.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.280.46
Details

Trillium Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trillium Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trillium Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trillium Gold Mines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trillium Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.77
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Trillium Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trillium Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trillium Gold Mines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trillium Gold Mines is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Trillium Gold Mines has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Trillium Gold Mines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (13.04 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (908).
Trillium Gold Mines has accumulated about 4.06 M in cash with (12.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Trillium Gold Fundamentals Growth

Trillium OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trillium Gold, and Trillium Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trillium OTC Stock performance.

About Trillium Gold Performance

By analyzing Trillium Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Trillium Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Trillium Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Trillium Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Trillium Gold Mines Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada. Trillium Gold Mines Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Trillium Gold operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Trillium Gold Mines performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trillium Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trillium Gold Mines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trillium Gold Mines is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Trillium Gold Mines has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Trillium Gold Mines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (13.04 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (908).
Trillium Gold Mines has accumulated about 4.06 M in cash with (12.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07.
Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Trillium Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trillium Gold's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Trillium Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trillium Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trillium Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trillium Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trillium Gold's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trillium Gold's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trillium Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trillium Gold's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trillium Gold's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Trillium Gold's price analysis, check to measure Trillium Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trillium Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Trillium Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trillium Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trillium Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trillium Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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